Nfl Draft Prop Bets
Visit SportsLine now to see the top Super Bowl 55 prop bets, all from the model that's up almost $7,900 on top-rated NFL picks. Big Game, Big Prizes Enter Football Props to take your free shot at. In addition to outlining prospect to team fits, I’ve added my thoughts on the NFL Draft prospect prop bets I’ve seen listed across the internet. DraftKings and FanDuel both have prop bets listed. The NFL draft has become a big event over the years for sports bettors thanks to the explosion of offshore sites. With the 2020 draft being held virtually, sportsbooks and offshore sites have. What other NFL Draft prop bets can I make? NFL Draft prop betting involves wagers on just about anything to do with the NFL Draft and ranges from who will be the first running back drafted, to whether the number one overall pick hugs mom or dad first, to how many players from the Big 12 will be drafted in the first round. In the coming months, more and more prop bets will be released to give bettors action on the 2020 NFL Draft. The most common bet type is for who will be the First Overall Pick, but due to the widespread expectation of Burrow having this honor locked up, bettors should be willing to look elsewhere rather than chasing the unlikely longshots here.
The 2020 NFL draft is still scheduled to take place April 23-25, which gives us an opportunity to look at some betting futures for the incoming class. Our betting experts -- Doug Kezirian, Preston Johnson, Anita Marks, Seth Walder and Matt Youmans of the Vegas Stats & Information Network -- offer their best prop bets as draft day approaches.
Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook unless noted otherwise.
QBs drafted in first round: Over 4 (-120)
Kezirian: This feels like a push, at worst. Joe Burrow, Justin Herbert and Tua Tagovailoa will all be drafted in the first round. This comes down to Jordan Love and Jacob Eason. In Todd McShay's latest mock draft, he had Love at No. 6 and ahead of Herbert. We also know that teams tend to fall in love with quarterbacks as draft day nears. Mel Kiper Jr. has Eason being chosen late in the first round, so I will roll the dice here and hope for five, but I'll probably settle for a push.
Johnson: Burrow, Tagovailoa and Herbert are likely to all be drafted by pick No. 6 (Chargers) now that Philip Rivers will be under center in Indianapolis. There is growing buzz that Love could be picked in the top 10 as well, but at the very worst, I don't see him sliding past the Patriots at pick No. 23 now that Tom Brady is in Tampa Bay. That gives us the latter part of the first round to sneak in Eason (and a very outside shot at Jalen Hurts or Jake Fromm). This bet will push a good portion of the time, but the chance that we see five quarterbacks taken compared to just three at this point is well worth the -140 price tag.
Youmans: Betting over four appears to be a free shot because at worst the wager should push. After Burrow and Tagovailoa, Herbert and Love are widely considered locks to go in the first round. Love's stock started soaring at the scouting combine in late February. All four could go in the top 10. Eason, who started his college career at Georgia and finished at Washington, is a long shot to go late in the first round. The worst-case scenario seems to be a push, and you would make a bet like that every time.
With Fuhrer Goodell ignoring the pleas of owners across the league begging for a delay, the NFL Draft will continue to be held starting on April 23rd and running through the 25th. Below you will find a handful of Draft prop bets that should land you a profit. With literally nothing else of relevance to wager on, you might as well head to Bovada (See our Bovada Review) and grab some value in anticipation of what should be the highest-rated NFL Draft in league history.
FIRST KICKER DRAFTED
- Rodrigo Blankenship -190
- Dominik Eberle +300
- Tyler Bass +375
- Sam Sloman +1000
- Jonathan Song +1500
- JJ Molson +1600
Former Georgia Bulldog Rodrigo Blankenship is the front-runner in the odds to be the first kicker drafted, and it’s easy to see why. He is coming off a 2019 season in which he won the Lou Groza award for the best placekicker in the country and will be looking to join Matt Gay (2019), Robert Aguayo (2016), Mike Nugent (2005), Nate Kaeding (2004), Sebastian Janikowski (2000) and Martin Gramatica (1999) as recent Groza winners to go on to be the first one at their position to be picked in the draft. Blankenship certainly has the requisite accuracy and long-distance kicking ability to succeed in the NFL, having never missed an extra point during his college career (190/190) while also tying the NCAA leading mark in field goals made from 50 yards or more with three last season. The range is something that clearly differentiates him past nearly everyone else in the pack. Dominik Eberle and Tyler Bass didn’t make a kick from 50 or more last season, Jonathan Song has never even attempted one from that distance in his career, and JJ Molson is one for six over his career. I would definitely lay the chalk odds on Blankenship to be the first kicker chosen, while also putting a small amount down on 10-1 shot Sam Sloman, who like Rodrigo has long-distance ability having gone four of five from 50+ in 2019.
PICK: Rodrigo Blankenship (-190) and Sam Sloman (+1000)
TEAM TO DRAFT JERRY JEUDY
- Las Vegas Raiders +180
- New York Jets +240
- San Francisco 49ers +375
- Denver Broncos +700
- Philadelphia Eagles +1400
It’s easy to see why these are the top five teams listed for Alabama wide receiver Jerry Jeudy, as all have the wide receiver position at the top of their draft needs list. Jeudy is the current odds on favorite to be the first player chosen at his position with odds of +115 compared to +175 for Ceedee Lamb of Oklahoma and fellow Crimson Tider Henry Ruggs III at +185. The Jets are the first of the teams to go at with the eleventh pick, and I don’t believe Jeudy will be sliding past them. With Tom Brady gone from the AFC East, Jets quarterback Sam Darnold has a chance to ascend to the top of the divisional position ranking and possibly gear his team toward a top spot that has been simply dominated by the Patriots for the past two decades. To do so Darnold will need weapons, and with Robby Anderson now gone via free agency, there is a dire gap at the position on the team that can be immediately filled by Jeudy, who I think is the well worth the wager to end up being picked by the Jets on draft day.
PICK: Jerry Jeudy to Jets (+240)
TOTAL ALABAMA PLAYERS DRAFTED IN ROUND 1
- OVER 5.5 EVEN
- UNDER 5.5 -140
Since arriving in Tuscaloosa, Alabama coach Nick Saban has had more players chosen in the first round (26) than he has games lost (23). In all that time though, the most players picked in the first round was four, and going over the mark of 5.5 would at least tie them for the “all-time record” of six held by the Miami Hurricanes set back in 2004. The Crimson Tide have as many as seven players that could be chosen in the initial round, with four of them an absolute lock (Tua Tagovailoa, Jerry Jeudy, Jedrick Wills, and Henry Ruggs III). The question will be how many of Xavier McKinney, Trevon Diggs, and Terrell Lewis could go as well, and I believe by the end of round one, only five players will have been chosen from Alabama.
PICK: UNDER 5.5 (-140)
TOTAL DEFENSIVE LINEMEN DRAFTED IN ROUND 1
- OVER 5.5 -110
- UNDER 5.5 -130
In doing out a consensus ranking of all of the draft prospects, there are six defensive linemen in the Top 27 (Chase Young, Derrick Brown, Javon Kinlaw, A.J. Epenesa, Ross Blacklock and Yetur Gross-Matos). Additionally, there’s a handful of linemen that could also sneak their way into possible first-round contention (Jordan Elliot, Neville Gallimore, Justin Madubuike, Marlon Davidson, etc.). With all those names out there, especially the first six mentioned, I would definitely put your money behind more than 5.5 defensive linemen going in the first round of the draft.
PICK: OVER 5.5 (-110)
MORE 1ST ROUND PICKS
- Auburn Players +0.5 (-230)
- Georgia Players -0.5 (+160)
With Derrick Brown and Andrew Thomas, both locked in as first-round picks, the only remaining variables at play are D’Andre Swift of Georgia and Noah Igboghene of Auburn. Swift is the highest-rated running back on the board (-200 to be the first one at his position to be taken). While Igboghene is rising up on a lot of draft charts, he has only played the position for two years, and there is still ample talent ranked ahead of and around him at cornerback. I believe Swift has a far greater or chance of going in the first round then Igboghene and because of that think it is worth the value pick grab at +160 to go with the Bulldogs
PICK: Georgia -0.5 (+160)
JUSTIN HERBERT DRAFT POSITION
Best Nfl Prop Bets Today
- OVER 5.5 -230
- UNDER 5.5 +160
Every year as the draft gets closer, it seems some quarterbacks end up jumping up and going higher than expected, and this year I believe that will be the case with Justin Herbert of Oregon. There are already two teams in the top five that are near guaranteed to be taking a quarterback in Cincinnati at one with Burrow and then whoever Miami ends up with their No. 5 pick or even higher if they decide to trade up. Tua Tagovailoa is the presumed runner up to Burrow in terms of draft stock, but two things could still work out well in Herbert’s top five chances. One of which is any other number of teams could trade up into the top five to take a quarterback, and the other is there are multiple reports that some teams even have Herbert ranked as the second-best. At more than 1.5-1 odds, there is definite value in rolling the dice on Herbert, and I certainly wouldn’t be in any way surprised to see those odds drop as it gets closer to draft date.
PICK: UNDER 5.5 (+160)
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DERRICK BROWN DRAFT POSITION
- OVER 8.5 -170
- UNDER 8.5 +130
The Carolina Panthers and Arizona Cardinals are picking 7th and 8th as of now in the draft. With the Panthers, top need being at defensive line and the Cardinals also looking for help up front, I can’t imagine Derrick Brown slipping past both of them as easily the highest-rated player at his position on the board. In any mock draft pool, I will have Brown going to Carolina, and as such, I will be taking the better odds and going with him to go earlier than the experts believe.
PICK: UNDER 8.5 (+130)
JEDRICK WILLS
- OVER 10.5 +135
- UNDER 105 -175
Jedrick Wills and Tristan Wirfs are considered the top two offensive linemen in the draft with Andrew Thomas and Mekhi Becton close behind them. Multiple teams in the top ten picks need offensive line help, most notably Arizona at eighth and the Browns at tenth, and with that in mind have no issue laying the additional odds on the Alabama tackle Wills to be one of the initial ten to go.
PICK: UNDER 10.5 (-175)
MEKHI BECTON
- OVER 8.5 -110
- UNDER 8.5 -130
I have Becton as the four rated offensive lineman on the board and with the Cardinals at 8th the first team fully expected to take a player at Becton’s position, I believe there are better options and can’t imagine Becton getting taken over Wills, Wirfs, and Thomas to warrant taking the favorite side.
PICK: OVER 8.5 (-110)
JAVON KINLAW DRAFT POSITION
- OVER 13.5 -120
- UNDER 13.5 -120
A defensive lineman out of the University of South Carolina, Javon Kinlaw is easily rated as the second-best player at his position in the draft. With multiple teams in the top 13 needing help up front, including Carolina, Arizona, Jacksonville, Cleveland, Las Vegas, and San Francisco, I would be greatly surprised if Kinlaw somehow slipped past all of them and didn’t clear his draft day mark.
PICK: UNDER 13.5 (-120)
HENRY RUGGS III DRAFT POSITION
- OVER 14.5 +105
- UNDER 14.5 -145
Nfl Draft Prop Bets 2020
A teammate at Alabama to top wide receiver in draft Jerry Jeudy, Ruggs is expected to be the third wide receiver taken off the board after CeeDee Lamb. For Ruggs to go in the top 14, it would mean that all three teams that needed receivers (Jets, Raiders, 49ers), all took them with their first when they choose consecutively from 11th-13th. This is also barring any one of them trading down to someone who might be looking to move up for a quarterback like Jordan Love or other positional help. I can’t see all three teams going with receivers, and because of that will be picking Ruggs to go over his projected draft mark.
PICK: OVER 14.5 (+105)
JALEN REAGOR DRAFT POSITION
- OVER 32.5 -175
- UNDER 32.5 +135
With around seven receivers ranked ahead of Reagor on most draft boards (Jerry Jeudy, CeeDee Lamb, Henry Ruggs III, Justin Jefferson, Brandon Aiyuk, Tee Higgins and Laviska Shenault Jr.) along with outliers such as Michael Pittman and Denzel Mims, I just can not see that many teams are going with receivers in the first round to make the chances of Reagor going in the top 32 anywhere near worth wagering on positively.
Nfl Draft Prop Bets William Hill
PICK: UNDER 32.5 (-175)
JEFF GLADNEY DRAFT POSITION
- OVER 32.5 -190
- UNDER 32.5 +145
Similar to the Jalen Reagor pick above, this is simply a matter of a log jam of players ranked higher at the position, this time at cornerback, that are better than Gladney, most notably Jeff Okudah, C.J Henderson, Trevon Diggs, Kristian Fulton, and A.J Terrell. He would also need to jump ranked similar to him, such as Damon Arnette, Jaylon Johnson, Noah Igboghene, and Camaron Dantzler. With all those ahead of and around him, I just don’t see Gladney making the necessary jump to be a worthwhile wager.
PICK: UNDER 32.5 (-190)
Best of luck in all your draft day wagers and pools, hopefully, some winning picks can distract from the disappointment of missing out on the great day one draft day tradition that is hearing the cascade of boos that always rains down on Goodell every time he steps to the podium and with his mere despicable presence continues to disgrace the league and sports itself.
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